Tag Archives: Daily Forecast

Forecast for Wednesday, August 8, 2018

Welcome back Monsoon 2018! .26″ at the airport adding to our totals. That was fun last night, although I got skunked here in southern Oro Valley. I know how many of you feel when the OV was getting soaked and many of you were being left out. It’s like Monsoon is going on a date with all your friends and you have to watch from across town. But when Monsoon goes out with us again all is forgiven! We hug and kiss her and beg her not to leave. Looks like we have a date tonight. I can’t wait!

Day to day Monsoon activity tough to call. Computer models originally saying prime time would be tonight and Thursday morning now saying Thursday night and Friday. Some models are saying we quiet down a bit next week, but one model saying not so fast. Dewpoints in the mid 60s this morning so lots of moisture in place. Looks like a good chance for scattered afternoon and evening storms into the weekend and perhaps beyond. Viva Monsoon 2018!

Mostly sunny today with a chance for storms this afternoon and a high near 96. Mostly cloudy tonight with a better chance for storms and a low in the mid 70s.

Partly sunny tomorrow and mostly cloudy tomorrow night. 30%/40% 94ish. 40%/40% Friday low 90s. 30%/30% Saturday mid 90s. 20%/30% Sunday and Monday mid 90s. 20% Tuesday mid 90s.

Forecast for Tuesday, August 7, 2018

I had a weird dream that my cell phone woke me up with an EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING warning at 3:00 a.m. Then I woke up and saw that it wasn’t a nightmare, it was true! Be warned. There will be excessive heat. Yesterday we tied the record high of 109. A couple of stray storms made it’s way across town last night, hopefully near you! The airport picked up .05″ which beats a swift kick (don’t ask me how I know that). Moisture is increasing across the area, so today’s expected high of 106 will be a bit uncomfortable. The good news is storms should fire earlier today and by this evening more of us will have a chance of getting wet. Tonight’s low in the upper 70s.

High pressure moving northward with an inverted trough riding our way from the east. Lots of moisture including a couple of hurricanes south of Baja California that will help push more our way. It all adds up to what should be an active week for Monsoon 2018! Early indications are that prime time will be tomorrow night and storm chances remain good into the weekend!

Partly sunny tomorrow with a 30% chance for storms and a high near 99ish. Mostly cloudy tomorrow night with a 50% chance for storms mid 70s. 30%/40% Thursday low 90s. 20%/40% Friday mid 90s. 30%/40% Saturday mid 90s, 20%/30% Sunday mid 90s. 20% Monday mid 90s.

Forecast for Monday, August 6, 2018

Must survive. One. More. Day. 107 yesterday meaning the record of 108 remains. Not quite excessive heat since that threshold is 108 in these parts. Still. 109 today, if it comes true, will tie the record set in 1995. I’m thinking we’ll be just shy, but still, an EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING remains until 8:00 tonight.

The really good news is Monsoon 2018 is fixin’ to return to us! High pressure moving off to the north opening the door for more moisture by tomorrow afternoon. A couple of tropical systems south of Baja California will push a Gulf of California surge of moisture into southern Arizona. Add an inverted trough and storms should be firing starting tomorrow evening with daily activity expected through the weekend! Viva Monsoon 2018!

20% chance for storms tonight with a low near 80.

10% chance tomorrow near 104ish. 30% tomorrow night upper 70s. 20%/40% Wednesday 98. 20%/40% Thursday 96. 30%/50% Friday 95. 30%/40% Saturday 94. 20% Sunday 95.

Forecast for Sunday, August 5, 2018

Run to the hills! You know. Because it’s cooler up there. They don’t call it Summerhaven for nothin’! High pressure is large and in charge and bringin’ the heat. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING from 10:00 this morning until tomorrow night at 8:00. Be warned, the heat will be excessive. Please make sure you stay hydrated lest you burst into flames. Never leave living things unattended in the car (oven) and walking the dog on hot asphalt is just cruel.

Today’s expected high of 108 would tie the record last set in 2009. Enough moisture around for a chance of an isolated storm this evening! Hopefully one near you, but it’s just a slight chance with a low tomorrow morning near 80.

Tomorrow’s record high is 109. We’ll be close! with an expected high of 108. Again, enough moisture trapped under the high for a 20% chance of storms tomorrow evening and a low in the upper 70s.

Our fortunes begin to reverse themselves as the high moves to the north. A tropical system near Baja California may even get into the act! Slight chance for a storm Tuesday afternoon with a high near 105. 20% chance Tuesday night upper 80s. Slight chance for a storm Wednesday 102. Wednesday night looks very promising with a 40% chance for storms mid 70s. 10%/30% Thursday 99ish. 20%/50% Friday 98. 30% Saturday mid 90s. Be cool!

Forecast for Saturday, August 4, 2018

I can’t even. I have no words. Monsoon 2018 what are you thinking? EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH for Sunday starting at 10:00 a.m. until Monday night at 8:00? Really? Really. High pressure moving over our head suppressing storm chances and bringing the heat. But I thought Excessive Heat was defined in our area with temperatures of 108 and above? The forecast for Sunday and Monday “only” calls for 105. Yeah, well, moisture trapped under the high will make it feel like 108ish. So much for a dry heat! At least storm chances return to the forecast Monday night  with isolated storms back in the forecast the rest of the week as the high retreats northward. We will rebuild!

Mostly sunny today with a high near 105. Partly cloudy tonight upper 70s.

Hot and humid tomorrow with a high near 105 feeling hotter. 10% chance for a storm tomorrow evening low in the upper 70s.

10%/30% Monday 105 with a 108ish feels. 10%/20% Tuesday 103. 10%/20% Wednesday 101. 10%/20% Thursday 100. 20% Friday 98.

Forecast for Friday, August 3, 2018

It’s Friiidaaay!!!

Big storms yesterday with heavy rain, but west of Tucson. One near Casa Grande blew a bunch of dust across I-10. That doesn’t sound like a bunch of fun. Scattered storms across the Phoenix area too along with dust. Meanwhile back at the ranch. The rumors of locally heavy rainfall in the metro were greatly exaggerated. We hit a high of 105! Hot and humid without the sweet relief of any showers. The break in the Monsoon should continue through the weekend into early next week. High pressure now to our SW and will be making it’s way toward the Four Corners. As it moves across our area it’ll be tough, but not impossible, to get a few storms going. On the hot side too along with some humidity. Joy!

Mostly sunny today with a 20% chance for an isolated storm or two and a high near 104.

Partly cloudy tonight with a slight chance for a storm before midnight and a low in the upper 70s.

Just a 10% chance for storms tomorrow and Sunday 104ish. 10%/30% Monday 104. 10%/20% Tuesday 102. 10%/20% Wednesday 101. 10% Thursday 101.

Forecast for Thursday, August 2, 2018

Viva Monsoon 2018! Widespread heavy rain last night. Vivid lightning. Strong damaging winds. Many folks who haven’t seen a lot of rain this Monsoon did some catching up last night. .26″ at the airport to get us on the scoreboard for the month of August on day one!

Could be another active day/evening. Last night’s activity has stabilized the air somewhat so probably a later start to activity today after the sunshine and subsequent heat recharges the atmosphere. Today’s high near 103. Slow moving storms and lots of moisture could lead to flash flooding with some of the storms tonight. Tonight’s low in the upper 70s. Please enjoy Monsoon 2018 responsibly.

Isolated to scattered storms tomorrow afternoon/evening with a high near 102ish. Isolated storms this weekend with highs both days near 103. 10%/30% Monday 102. 10%/20% Tuesday 102. 20% Wednesday 101.

Forecast for Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Thanx for the memories July, 2018. For the NW and east side you pretty much rocked! Even the airport finishing July right at average for rainfall for the month. If you are waiting to catch up, we still have August and September of Monsoon 2018 remaining. Keep hope alive! Viva Monsoon 2018!

After taking a personal day yesterday (who approved that request?) Monsoon is expected to return today with isolated to scattered afternoon and evening storms, hopefully near you! Today’s high near 102 and tonight’s low near 78.

A 20% chance for storms tomorrow afternoon and a 40% chance tomorrow night with a high near 101ish. 20%/30% Friday 99. Mostly sunny Saturday with a slight chance for evening storms 101. 20%/30% Sunday 100. 10%/40% Monday 99. 20% Tuesday 99.

Forecast for Tuesday, July 31, 2018

Monsoon 2018 roared last night! The Foothills was hit hard with at least one report of tree damage and over 2″ of rain!  Midtown got in on the act as well. A couple places that have been missing out finally participating in Monsoon 2018. Not as much activity expected today. Yesterday’s storms have sapped the atmosphere of some of the energy needed for widespread activity. Still, with plenty of moisture around and lots of sunshine we could see a few storms this afternoon and evening, hopefully near you! High pressure in the NW part of the state slowly moving to the Four Corners by the weekend will keep us in daily storm chances into next week. Viva Monsoon 2018!

Becoming mostly sunny today with isolated storms possible this afternoon and scattered storms perhaps this evening. Today’s high in the upper 90s. Low tonight in the mid 70s.

20% chance for storms tomorrow afternoon/30% tomorrow night high near 101. 20%/40% Thursday 101. 20%/30% Friday 100ish. 20%/30% Saturday 101. 20%/30% Sunday 99. 30% Monday 98.

Forecast for Monday, July 30, 2018

Well that didn’t work out according to plan. We were pretty much skunked yesterday and I would call that forecast busted! Weather is an inexact science and it’s one reason why I like it so much. Still. When you are expecting storms and it doesn’t happen it can be frustrating. It happens. I mean, it happened! Let’s take another run at it today. High pressure in southern Nevada will slowly make its way to the Four Corners this week. That should keep us in a favorable spot for scattered afternoon and evening storms all week. Highs and lows slightly above the averages of 98 and 74.

Becoming mostly sunny today with a 20% chance for storms and a high near 101.

Mostly cloudy tonight with storms scattered about (hopefully near you!) and a low in the upper 70s.

20% chance for storms Tuesday and Tuesday night 101/78. 20%/20% Wednesday 103ish. 20%/30% Thursday 101. 20%/20% Friday 99. 20%/20% Saturday and Sunday 100.